Tuesday June 6, 2023

Mohawk Analysis

Woodbine-Mohawk Park Racing Schedule

Monday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday | First Post 7:05 p.m. ES

kevin plowcha's Contenders

Race 1

(#2) AHI SUNSHINE made $84K last year including a third in the Grassroots Super Final. Draws well in third start back and gets away from No Control and Ace Of Aces. (#4) WATCHMAKER was solid last season but needed a little more. Will take money off the last quali against Stockade Seelster. Must-use in multis but readiness is the question. (#1) GANDOLF THE BLACK has one win but it came against a couple in here. Fast times as of late and also gets away from the big boys. (#9) CHASING GOOSEBUMPS is a front-end type that has won 4-of-7, could pick up a piece here.

Race 2

(5) SOUTHWIND DOMINO was first over into a near 59 second middle half and still held 3rd. I think JMac looks to replicate the 5/22 line. (1) WARRAWEE XALT has been solid in his last three, had nowhere to go from the pocket last week until too late, should be up close again. I have no idea where (2) UNBEATABLE KEMP pulled that 53.1 win from but it was impressive. Past lines make me wonder if he can repeat it. (7) GRATEFUL has kicked home strong to pick up a piece in the last two. Gait issues still loom large.

Race 3

(3) IKES DREAM was a well-rated winner last week and will look to repeat against a field that doesn’t show much gate speed. (6) BETTER OPTION paced a back half in 55 flat and was bobbing and weaving through the stretch to try and find room. Shouldn’t completely take back. (7) SAUBLE ACE looked awesome on 5/13 but then was scratched sick. Has been off three weeks, needs one before getting back to that form. (2) BETTOR B SIRIUS took some money last week but had no chance after taking back off the car. Paced a back half of 54.1, can pick up a piece if closer early.

Race 4

This race got tougher the longer I looked at it. (4) FOX VALLEY ONTARIO moves back to the big track and drops back to NW1, easier than what he’s seen before.. Took lots of money in April when here. Barn is very good in limited starts. (2) RICARDO looked ready to fire but broke heading into the turn. Tough to gauge. If he stays flat, he should be close at the end. (10) CASSIUS HANOVER probably won’t take back despite the outside post. Question is if Roy will send all the way or get away mid-pack. Last two lines play well here. (9) CRUISING TOM qualified well on 5/5, winner of that quali just won a Sire Stake in PA. Two decent finishes @ Flammy, could go overlooked with the outside post.

Race 5

(3) SHADOWS TERROR gets post relief and doesn’t have to face Ace Of Aces. Henry should put him up close again. 5/13 and 5/19 lines are very good. Should kick home strong again. (8) COOP A LOOP has experience here – Raced in the Golds last year. Has won 3-of-4 this year, those “winners of” races @ The Meadows are tough. Hensley blasted w/ him a few times in the past. Don’t know if he can kick home as well as others. We will see. (7) FULL HORSE has gotten faster in each start this year and just missed last week. Where does Roy put him early? (2) WISE THINKING keeps J-Mac and kicked home in 26.4 last week. Definitely should pick up a piece.

Race 6

(4) CANCUN KAI is still a clear short price. Just went too fast early last week and paid for it. Should be much the best here. (2) BOLD BET rode the rail and made up some solid ground in the first career start. Gets a driver change to Fillion. (8) MUFFERAW JOE has been third in two straight but has been off a month and draws outside. Not sure how ready he’ll be but could pick up a share. (7) ROYAL JK had to check up last week when the horse in front of him broke. Gets Jamieson now who drove him to his only board hit against similar.

Race 7

(7) JOKER ON JACK blasted to the front last week and still was able to kick home in 27 flat. No Verdun tonight. Looking for a similar trip. (2) STEEL COWBOY took a death shuffle and still rallied to be fourth up the inside. Hasn’t won yet this year, gets outkicked a lot. Should get away fine with this draw and go from there. (4) WRY paced a back half of 54.1 and finished just behind the #7. Steadily improving, shouldn’t get away too far back with this draw. (5) THE MOMENT AROSE has been a stone cold closer in all three starts this year and has kicked home strong, but showed gate speed in the two qualifiers. Henry needs to get him away closer to get a share.

Race 8

(1) EDEN ONTHEHILL was in a perfect second over position but couldn’t take advantage off the soft middle half. Keeps getting closer to a win. Hard to imagine another “merry go round” for (8) HANDSOME SEBASTIAN who lulled the rest of the field to sleep last week. Price is gone, plan is probably the same. (6) NOTHINGBUTADREAMER made $81K last year but will likely need a start. Qualifiers were fine, but he’s been off a month since the last one. (4) WARRAWEE YES jumps up after a very game first over win that included stretch interference. Can catch a piece off a helmet.

Race 9

(7) REIGN SUPREME should be ready to fire again after kicking home in 26.3 to just miss against Ace Of Aces. SBOA was too much for him, but finds a nice middle ground here. Has two more starts this year than (2) WINMEBAK who understandably looks good on paper, but doesn’t need to win this first leg. Bigger fish to fry. Will be a short price regardless. I’ll take my chances against. (5) SOUNDS GOOD will love the class relief. Pitching the last line against SBOA foes. Gets McNair back and should get away closer. Paced a sub-54 second back half against tougher two back. (1) NEWS CASTER could pick up a piece if the improvements continue from the qualifiers. With Fillion aboard, it’s possible.

Race 10 + Multis

(2) BUSTING WITH PRIDE trotted home in 26.4 and just missed to a big favorite. Could still give good value despite J-Mac sticking. (5) RESOLVE TO WIN would be the reason why. He’s been dominant in his last two and Young knows this one well now. (3) FLOYD THE FREAK got a confidence booster @ Flamboro and returns to the big track against easier. Faced Grassroots competition last year and won 4-of-9. (4) ROUGH TUFF TESTED’s win on 4/27 sticks out when looking at the rest. Just missed to the #3 in his last, has only missed the board once so far this year. (8) DEVILS ARCH recovered from a break to be fifth last time out. Kicked home in 27.3 for a lifetime best win at 18-1 two back. If Jamieson sends, a check is almost guaranteed.


Best Bet: R1 – #2 AHI SUNSHINE





Early Pick-5: ($100K Guarantee)

2/125/36/24910/38   $48 for $1


Early Pick-4:

24910/38/4/247   $24 for $1

Late Pick-5:

4/247/12468/7/2   $15 for $1

Late Pick-4:

247/12468/7/2   $15 for $1



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