Friday August 21,  2026

Mohawk Analysis

Woodbine-Mohawk Park Racing Schedule

Monday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday | First Post 6:35 p.m. EST

Doug Henwood (The NUMBERCRUNCHER)'s Picks

My head hurts after handicapping this amazing card of racing tonight at Mohawk.  So much talent is on display, the racing will be awesome & we handicappers will need to be extra sharp to navigate the challenges ahead.  Let’s get going!!!
 
Race 1

8-1-10-2

(#8) STABLE GENIUS – an “easier” one to get us started (I Hope).  STABLE GENIUS ties with #1 as best speed (56.0) and shows us the best closing number for this bunch with his 27.4 (July 26).  McNair is just the guy we want to hit the gas peddle & there’s little doubt we’ll be on the lead early.  I say it will be a gate to wire win.

Race 2

3-2-6-4 

(#3) A SPLASH OF GREEN  – racing well & J-Mac is back.  Shows best speed (56.1) & her 27.4 adjusted closing quarter is easily the top closing number.  The one to beat.

Race 3

6-9-2-8

(#6) LADTERRA– here’s Leg 2 of the current Pop Up Series.  Once again, I expect LADYTERRA to want the front end.  Should be at least well placed early then we refer to the group-best 26.4 adjusted closing quarter from July 31 to get us home.  
Race 4

3-9-7-8

(#3) ATHENAS GIRL – OK here’s the first Peaceful Way Elimination & the start of the handicapping challenge.  Keep the TUMS handy.  It sure seems like Team Melander has been aiming for this one.  The breaking problems disappeared last time & the result was an easy 4 length win in a division of the Kindergarten over at the Big M.  We see a 27.3 closing quarter to finish up the mile too.  Then let’s just add Dexter as the exclamation point.  Deserves top call.
Race 5
5-7-3-2
(#5) HURRICANE HANOVER – let’s switch gears (gates actually) & focus on the $125K WHENUWISHUPONASTAR Final.  These 2YO’s are clearly still “Under Construction” so I’ll try this one based on a Post 10 in only start & a 26 flat closing number (best in here).  Made up a mere 14 lengths in that lone race.  I’m also a Jody Jamieson fan.  Jody is not shy & he’ll be looking for a big night on this big stage.  Got to be some value available here too, right?  
Race 6
1-8-7-2
(#1) NEVIS PEAK – Elim #2 of the Peaceful Way looks like it belongs to the combo of Ron Burke & Yannick Gingras.  We get a very nice trotting filly with a nice resume already.  A closing number like the 27 flat July 10 puts her right there with the best in here.  Feels like Yannick’s moment.  
Race 7
2-6-3-4

(#2) SHALOM HANOVER – the fun keeps coming so here we go with the $120K DREAM MAKER Final.  This one features perhaps our first budding superstar of the evening, #2 SHALOM HANOVER.  A perfect 3 for 3 so far & a 1:49.2 mile last time at Pocono speaks volumes.  Based on what we know, right now, he’s the likely winner…at 1-5 ML. 

 
Race 8 
8-3-4-1

(#8) DATA BREACH – we’re really just getting started & here’s the first William Wellwood Elimination for 2YO C&G.  For me the story here is with the young son of Emoticon Hanover.  One start & a very nice 2nd place finish including a 26.3 final closing quarter.  Bob McClure is the new top guy for Blais & Determination, it appears, so he must be salivating at the opportunity he has starting right here & right now.  Lots of talent in here so it will take a big effort from the outside post & likely the goal tonight is just to make the final but I’ll be excited regardless to see what this one has to offer.

Race 9
5-4-6-2

(#5) UNREASONABLE – it’s the toughest F&M Open of the year based on the insertion of both #4 TALK CURDY TO ME & #5 UNREASONABLE.  My selection gets a slight edge based on her success in all the big money events she frequents.  Take nothing away from the Mohawk regulars led by the amazing LETS N JOY N but top selection must go to UNREASONABLE.

 
Race 10
4-6-2-1

(#4) TOP REACHER – already successful at the Big M & The Red Mile, TOP REACHER ties as top closer with a 27.1.  Another Melander/Dunn team-up & their chances look good here in the last Elimination of the William Wellwood Memorial.

 
Race 11
1-4-8-6
(#1) SANTAFES APPETITE – Here in the other Pop-Up Series Leg 2 race, my selection must be pleased to get away from that tough post 9 in her last.  Looks to me like the Cullen’s have this girl in top form & there’s no way we can “worry” about that last start.  We’ll be better positioned & very likely ready to unleash that big move of hers.  A 26.2 like back on July 25 would do nicely.  Looks solid in here.
 
Race 12
7-5-6-4-1
(#7) ANNIES DIVA – racing well & will be heard from again in the stretch.  Borth takes over for Jamieson who drives #1 BRIANS HALO for Dad.  Just missed last time & methinks this will be her night.  I predict in advance it was a fantastic night of harness action!
 
                                                                                                                                                    

Most Likely: R7 – #2 SHALOM HANOVER

 
Value Play: R11 – #1 SANTAFES APPETITE 

Deep Crunch: R5 #5 HURRICANE HANOVER 

Early Pick 5 – 1810/3/269/379/57 – $10.80 for 20 cents

Early Pick 4 – 2689/379/57/178 – $14.40 for 20 cents

Pick 6 – 3/357/18/2/348/456 – $10.80 for 20 cents

 
Mid-Card Pick 5 – 18/26/348/456/46 – $14.40 for 20 cents

Late Pick 5 – 348/456/46/14/567 – $21.60 for 20 cents

Late Pick 4 – 456/46/148/567 – $10.80 for 20 cents