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Kevin Plowcha (@PlowchasPicks) starting AUGUST 20th for Weekends

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Kevin Plowcha 9/17/22

 

Best Bet: Energetic Hanover (R4)


Value Play: Stormont Park (R3)

 

Race 1: 1-6-2-3

#1 – HOROSCOPE – This Canadian invader continued the aggressiveness in his first start here, but faded late as the favorite. Only lost by 1 ¾ lengths and may have needed that start, as the horse was off for three weeks. Palone’s choice over two others.

 

Race 2: 4-2-1-6
#4 – EMBLAZE HANOVER – Has won two in a row, including one against most of these foes last time out. Palone in the bike again – Expecting this one to blast early and try to hold on.

 

Race 3: 1-3-4-7
#1 – STORMONT PARK – Post relief is the biggest factor here. Ignore the last line – horse was parked for the mile. Draws the rail, gets Palone, and shows a 2nd in similar company on 8/06.

 

Race 4: 2-5-6-4
#2 – ENERGETIC HANOVER – Faces much, much easier today. Has been facing the likes of Beach Glass, Mad Max Hanover, and Fourever Boy. Draws inside in a short field – Will likely be 1-5 or lower.

 

Race 5: 2-6-3-8
#2 – LIBERTY N FREEDOM – A rare break at the gate last time out, but I’m ignoring that line. This horse has been way too consistent in recent weeks for me to jump off of him after one break. Draws inside once again – We’ll see if Palone changes up the strategy due to the break.

 

Race 6: 3-4-5-2
#3 – BIRTHDAY – Blasted from post 9 to the front last out in a Sire Stake Consolation, and was on the lead until midway through the stretch. Looked really good warming up that day, and it translated well. Now draws inside, and you get Ronnie Wrenn Jr.

Race 7: 9-7-2-8
#9 – MY FRISKIE BOY – His win streak was snapped last week after being parked three wide early from post 8 and being unable to hang on. Gets a worse post than that, but is one that I think can bounce right back. Should be blasting for Palone.

 

Race 8: 1-3-5-6
#1 – NO QUARTER – Returns to The Meadows after a quick stint against Open company at Northfield. His most recent local start was a solid 4th in the Open Handicap on 8/27. Faces an overall easier field today, and draws well.

 

Race 9: 3-4-5-8
#3 – TWIN B EDGE – Has been way too good in this class as of late to pick against. Just got beaten two back, and won last week coming first over. Continues his streak of good luck with post position draws.

 

Race 10: 4-2-3-1
#4 – SHIM – It has been over five months since this horse has won. The times stick out better in this group compared to what he has been facing. The only major difference today is that Dave Palone is in the bike, which gives me enough confidence to pick this one on top. WAY overdue to win.


Race 11: 7-3-2-8
#7 – WINDSONG LEO – Despite all of the success over his career, this horse has hit a brick wall lately, and now finds himself at the bottom level condition. I can’t pick against him here. This horse is the class of the field.


Race 12: 3-5-6-2-9
#3 – FRANK DEFORD – Added Lasix for the first time last week, but was just too far back to make any noise. Gets post relief and will be the 2nd start on Lasix. Expecting improvement in an overall weak field.

Multi-Leg Wagers:

Early Pick-4 (50 cent base, races 1-4)

1-6

1-2-4

1-3

2

$6.00

 

Jackpot Pick-5 (20 cent base, races 4-8)

2

2-3-6-8

3-4-5

7-8-9

1-3-5

$21.60

 

Late Pick-4 (50 cent base, races 9-12)

3-4

4-2

2-3-7-8

3-5
$16.00

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