Follow Jeff on Twitter @Meadows_TV
Follow Kevin on Twitter @plowchaspicks
Kevin Plowcha (@PlowchasPicks)
Kevin Plowcha’s Daily Selections
Best Bet: R10 – #5 BRIGHT EXPECTATION
Value Play: R4 – #3 MY FRISKIE BOY
Race 1: 5-4-3
(#5) COMMANDER FRANK’s three wins have all come here. This is the easiest of the three Sire Stakes divisions today. Just got picked off last week, should be looking to push forward with a short field.
Race 2: 7-1-5-4
(#7) DESPERADO HALL likes to get checks. This is a group he can beat if the trip is right. Grinded out a first-over 3rd place finish with slower fractions last time. Winner from the last two weeks isn’t here. Will likely drop back and look for a helmet.
Race 3: 4-1-3-2
(#4) HERODOTUS was the one who tripped out to beat Commander Frank late last week @ Pocono. Perfect trip aside, he’s looked good this year. Had a reason to tire two back after blistering fractions, and only lost by just over a length.
Race 4: 3-5-1-6-7
Today’s “Value Play” (#3) MY FRISKIE BOY just feels due for a win. Pitch the last line – had terrible cover and was forced four wide, and had post 8 on 5/20. Any of the four lines before that, I would take. Gets Wrenn back, should be a price looking for that winning trip.
Race 5: 6-5-3-1
(#6) SAINT LOUIE will face his biggest test but looked way too good last week to not use. Perfect prep for today, Svanstedt brings his horses ready. Looks like Palone will be sending, wonder how deep his bag is in terms of speed.
Race 6: 5-4-8-7
(#5) MARKET BASED has been given two straight confidence boosters as he looks to have a big back half of his 4YO season. Wasn’t facing nearly the caliber that he sees today (all others are former Open horses themselves), but he fits, no doubt. Palone looking to wire them.
Race 7: 1-6-7-9-2
(#1) YUPYUPYUP was the best of the rest last time in a fast race. Has taken the step up in stride both times, trending towards a win. Everything is going in his favor here: Winner from last week isn’t here, the ML fav comes off a sick scratch, the #6 is stepping up, and the #9 has been a contender, but obviously has a bad post.
Race 8: 3-7-5-4
(#3) FIRE N LIGHTNING didn’t disgrace himself in the last two against some tough company. Much better preps for today compared to the others. The horses he was losing to in the Late Closer (Commander Frank, Big Boy Ernest) are racing in Sire Stakes today. Should get away closer to the front.
Race 9: 4-5-1-7
(#4) RULE OF LAW is a proven winner against these types. 7-of-12 in the exacta this year. No chance in the last two after taking back. Has been off a few weeks to recharge, should come back ready to fire for Palone.
Race 10: 5-3-2-4
Today’s “Best Bet” (#5) BRIGHT EXPECTATION was never asked by Merriman in a dominant win in a prep setting him up for bigger and better things. Will likely replicate the same trip and go a little faster. Won’t be 1-9. Maybe even money.
Race 11: 1-6-4-3
(#1) GOLDEN COMPASS isn’t facing too tough of a group here. Draws inside, may take back a little bit, but gets Ronnie Wrenn back who guided this horse to a closing 2nd on 4/21.
Race 12: 3-4-5-6
(#3) AUSTRAL HANOVER might be 0-for-5 but has been facing tougher than most and going much faster than anyone else. Gets Wrenn for the first time which will only help. Had five wins last year including a Stakes win and a couple in the Stallion Series where he is today.
Race 13: 8-5-2-4-6
(#8) CALVIN K drops to a near bottom level condition after a very game effort last week. The fractions were wicked, and he came first over. Had reason to tire against tougher. Same story two back. This is overall an easier bunch, definitely should be getting a piece of it. Does Indof send? Presto barn is solid.
Early Pick-4: (Races 1-4)
5/17/14/135 $12 for $1
Middle Pick-4: (Races 5-8)
356/4578/1/37 $12 for 50¢
Pick-5: (Races 9-13)
145/5/146/34/58 $18.00 for 50¢